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U.S. Intelligence Disputes Kremlin Attack Claim as Russia Deploys Nuclear-Capable Missiles to Belarus

U.S. intelligence skepticism is reshaping responses to disputed claims that threaten fragile peace talks.

Overview

  • Russia said its new Oreshnik missile system is now in Belarus, with Alexander Lukashenko citing 10 planned units and Vladimir Putin declaring the system in active service.
  • The NSA and CIA assessed there is no evidence Ukraine attempted to strike Putin’s Novgorod-area residence, a finding that shifted President Donald Trump’s public stance toward skepticism.
  • Moscow released video it says shows a downed Ukrainian drone tied to the alleged plot, but Ukraine, EU officials, and open-source monitors reported no corroborating evidence and described the claim as fabricated.
  • Russian long-range attacks continued as Odesa authorities reported six people injured, including children, and damage to apartment blocks and energy facilities during overnight drone strikes.
  • Russian-installed officials in occupied Kherson claimed a Ukrainian drone strike killed 24 people in Khorly, a report not independently verified, as negotiators pressed forward with U.S.-mediated talks and Zelenskyy said a peace framework is roughly 90% complete.