Overview
- New U.S. intelligence says Iran still holds thousands of ballistic missiles with recoverable underground launchers, contradicting Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s claim of a “functionally destroyed” program.
- Pentagon leaders say U.S. forces struck more than 13,000 targets, hitting 1,500 air defense sites and roughly 90% of weapons factories and large portions of Iran’s nuclear industrial base.
- The U.S. reports over 90% of Iran’s regular navy sunk and more than 95% of naval mines destroyed, though many Revolutionary Guard fast boats remain.
- A fragile ceasefire has paused large-scale fighting as talks in Pakistan seek to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, a narrow route that carries about a fifth of the world’s oil.
- Independent conflict data and battlefield events show Iran can still hit back, with steady strike activity and the shootdown of a U.S. F-15E underscoring residual defenses.