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U.S. Inflation Rises in February, Challenging Rate Cut Expectations

Higher rent and gas prices contribute to a solid increase in consumer prices, casting doubt on the anticipated Federal Reserve rate cut in June.

  • U.S. consumer prices rose 0.4% in February, driven by higher costs for gasoline and shelter, marking a solid increase from January's 0.3%.
  • The annual consumer price index (CPI) increased 3.2% through February, slightly up from 3.1% in January, indicating persistent inflation.
  • Core CPI, excluding volatile food and energy components, also rose 0.4% last month, with a year-on-year increase of 3.8%, the smallest since May 2021.
  • Economists and analysts suggest the inflation data could lead the Federal Reserve to delay expected rate cuts, possibly extending the pause past March and May.
  • Despite the uptick, some experts still anticipate a disinflation trend, though the recent data challenges the narrative of a swift return to the Fed's 2% target rate.
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