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US Inflation Holds at 2.7% as Core Prices Rise to 3.1%

Analysts expect delayed tariff costs to push consumer prices higher under scrutiny of BLS independence

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Eine Frau geht durch einen Gang eines Supermarkts in Houston (Texas, USA).

Overview

  • Headline consumer prices in July remained unchanged at 2.7% year-on-year, a trend supported by a 9.5% drop in fuel costs.
  • Core inflation excluding food and energy climbed to 3.1% in July, marking its highest level this year and complicating Federal Reserve rate-cut plans.
  • Broad import tariffs now in effect have had only a moderate impact on prices so far, but analysts warn that pass-through effects will intensify in the coming months.
  • President Trump’s firing of BLS chief Erika McEntarfer and appointment of E.J. Antoni has raised concerns among economists about the agency’s statistical independence.
  • Germany’s July inflation held steady at 2.0% year-on-year with lower energy costs offset by higher food and service prices, highlighting divergent pressures across major economies.