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US Inflation Eases Slightly as Trade Tariffs on China Intensify

March data shows cooling US inflation at 2.6%, but rising tariffs on Chinese imports to 125% spark concerns of future price hikes.

Economists expected that inflation would slow to 2.6% annually, as measured by the Consumer Price Index.
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Shoppers browse a Walmart Supercenter a day after U.S. President Donald Trump announced new tariffs, in Secaucus, New Jersey, U.S. April 3, 2025. REUTERS/Siddharth Cavale/File photo

Overview

  • US consumer prices rose 2.6% year-over-year in March, down from February's 2.8%, indicating a modest cooling of inflation.
  • President Trump increased tariffs on Chinese goods to 125% while pausing new tariffs on other countries for 90 days, creating economic uncertainty.
  • China's consumer price index fell by 0.1% in March, marking the second consecutive month of deflation and signaling weak domestic demand.
  • Analysts predict US inflation could peak at 4% in the coming months as the effects of increased tariffs ripple through the economy.
  • The Federal Reserve remains cautious, with policymakers noting that higher tariffs could sustain inflationary pressures despite recent declines.