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1h ago

U.S. Inflation Cools to 2.7% in Delayed November CPI, Core at 2.6%

The 43‑day shutdown compressed November price collection, prompting officials to treat the downside surprise as tentative pending December confirmation.

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A shopper walks down an aisle in an Albertsons supermarket after a U.S. judge blocked the pending $25 billion merger of U.S. grocery chains Kroger and Albertsons, siding with the U.S. Federal Trade Commission, in Seattle, Washington, U.S. December 10, 2024. REUTERS/David Ryder
A food shopper browses for groceries ahead of the Thanksgiving Day holiday at an Albertsons supermarket in Redmond, Washington, U.S., November 24, 2025. REUTERS/David Ryder/File Photo
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Overview

  • Headline CPI rose 2.7% year over year in November and core CPI increased 2.6%, both below the roughly 3.1% economists had expected.
  • The Bureau of Labor Statistics canceled October’s report and omitted standard month‑to‑month comparisons for November due to the shutdown‑related data gaps.
  • Stocks climbed and Treasury yields fell after the release, with S&P futures up about 0.8% and the 10‑year yield slipping to roughly 4.13%.
  • Economists warned the truncated, late‑month price collection may have captured holiday discounts and could bias the reading downward.
  • Fed watchers say the print informs the outlook but expect policymakers to look to December data before shifting the projected path of rate cuts, even as core inflation eased to its slowest pace since early 2021.