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US Inflation Cools, Raising Prospects for Rate Cuts

Supply chain recovery and labor market shifts play crucial roles in easing price pressures

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People shop for shoes in a store at The Village at Corte Madera on May 30, 2024, in Corte Madera, California.
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Overview

  • US inflation rates have cooled more than expected, with consumer prices rising just 3.3% annually, down from a 2022 peak of over 9%.
  • The Federal Reserve has signaled only one rate cut for the remainder of the year, deviating from earlier projections of three cuts.
  • Supply chain improvements and increased labor force participation have significantly contributed to the reduction in inflation.
  • The Bank of Japan's decision to delay bond purchase cuts leaves the yen vulnerable, while European political shifts have weakened the euro.
  • Despite economic improvements, consumer sentiment in the US remains low, reflecting ongoing public concerns about inflation and economic stability.