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U.S. Inflation Accelerates as Firms Pass Tariffs to Consumers

Firms are hiking prices for higher import duties, reinforcing traders’ bets that the Fed will stand pat on rates.

The U.S. flag is seen on a building on Wall St. in the financial district in New York, U.S., November 24, 2020. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo
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Groceries are seen at a Walmart supermarket in Houston, Texas, on May 15, 2025.

Overview

  • Headline CPI rose 2.7% year-on-year in June, up from 2.4% in May, while core inflation excluding food and energy climbed to 2.9%
  • Prices for import-exposed goods such as apparel, furniture and electronics saw notable increases even as overall monthly CPI rose just 0.3%
  • The Federal Reserve’s Beige Book reported input cost pressures in all 12 districts and said many firms have started passing higher duties on to consumers
  • Wall Street bank CEOs including Jane Fraser and Charles Scharf noted pauses in capital expenditures and hiring among corporate clients as policy uncertainty mounts
  • Futures markets nearly rule out a July rate cut and economists warn that additional levies set for August and dwindling pre-tariff inventories could drive further price pressures