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U.S. Housing Market in 2025: Slower Price Growth, Stabilizing Rates, and Easing Competition

Economists predict a modest rise in home prices, steady mortgage rates, and an increase in housing inventory as the market shifts closer to a buyer's landscape.

Overview

  • Home prices are expected to rise by 2-4% in 2025, marking a return to slower, pre-pandemic growth rates.
  • Mortgage rates are projected to stabilize around 6%, reducing the 'lock-in effect' for homeowners with low-rate mortgages.
  • An increase in housing inventory is anticipated due to new construction and more homeowners listing their properties, easing competition for buyers.
  • Rent growth is forecasted to remain flat as new apartment construction strengthens renters' negotiating positions.
  • Climate risks, inflation, and potential tariff policies under the incoming Trump administration could influence market dynamics and borrowing costs.