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U.S. Home Deals Fall Through at July-Record Pace as Buyers Gain Leverage

Elevated rates with plentiful listings give buyers leverage to walk away.

Image
A for sale sign displayed outside of a home in Los Angeles on August 16, 2024.
This Tuesday, May 24, 2016, photo shows a "Sale Pending" sign in front of a house in North Andover, Mass. On Thursday, May 26, 2016, the National Association of Realtors releases its April report on pending home sales, which are seen as a barometer of future purchases. (AP Photo/Elise Amendola)

Overview

  • About 58,000 pending sales collapsed in July, equal to 15.3% of contracts, the highest July share in Redfin data back to 2017.
  • Total listings now exceed 2 million and Redfin estimates sellers outnumber buyers by more than 500,000, increasing buyers’ negotiating power.
  • Cancellation rates were highest in construction-heavy Sun Belt metros, led by San Antonio (22.7%), Fort Lauderdale (21.3%), Jacksonville (19.9%), Atlanta (19.7%) and Tampa (19.5%).
  • Redfin attributes the pullback to elevated mortgage costs, steep home prices and economic-policy uncertainty that has made buyers more cautious.
  • Virginia Beach recorded the largest year-over-year jump to 16.1% from 12.5%, and Redfin reports some homeowners are pulling listings rather than cutting prices.