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U.S. Government Shuts Down in Clash Over ACA Subsidy Extension

Democrats insist on fast action to preserve expanded marketplace aid before open enrollment.

Overview

  • KFF estimates that subsidized enrollees’ average annual out‑of‑pocket premiums would more than double next year if the enhanced credits lapse, putting roughly 22–24 million marketplace consumers at risk.
  • Insurers’ proposed 2026 filings point to a median premium increase near 18%, with analysts warning that higher costs could drive healthier people out of the market and worsen risk pools.
  • Senate Democrats blocked a stopgap funding bill as they press for an immediate extension of the enhanced ACA tax credits and a reversal of Medicaid cuts in the summer “One Big Beautiful Bill.”
  • Republican leaders say Congress should reopen the government first and take up health‑care negotiations afterward, though some in the party have signaled openness to addressing the credits.
  • The Congressional Budget Office projects roughly 10 million more people could become uninsured over the next decade under recent Medicaid and related policy changes unless they are revised.