Overview
- The funding measure advanced after eight Senate Democrats shifted positions, setting the process of reopening the federal government in motion.
- Budget offices estimate the stoppage cost the economy $7–14 billion in 2025, including about $11 billion in permanent lost output.
- Interrupted BLS and Census operations created data gaps while consumer confidence fell to a three‑year low, complicating upcoming Federal Reserve decisions.
- The exclusion of Affordable Care Act tax‑credit extensions could drive average premium increases starting January 2026 for 22 million enrollees, and OAPC estimates roughly 4 million could be priced out of coverage.
- Analysts warn the episode undercuts U.S. institutional credibility and transmits risk to Mexico through trade, investment and supply‑chain ties.