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U.S. Flood Crisis Spurs System Upgrades as Flash Warnings Hit Record High

NOAA along with the National Weather Service is rolling out phased system upgrades to account for climate-driven flood risks following record mid-July flash flood warnings.

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A barricade blocks a road during heavy rains, Sunday, July 13, 2025, in Kerrville, Texas.
Data: NCEI; Map: Erin Davis/Axios Visuals
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Overview

  • Rescue crews in central Texas are still searching for more than 100 people under persistent flood watches after early July’s deadly flash floods.
  • More than 3,000 flash flood warnings were issued nationwide from January through mid-July, overwhelming local emergency networks and data management systems.
  • The Commerce Department’s indefinite suspension of the Atlas 15 rainfall dataset has stalled critical updates to flood-risk models based on decades-old data.
  • Aging infrastructure—from century-old New York City sewers to outdated drainage systems—has been regularly overwhelmed by increasingly intense rainfall fueled by a warming atmosphere.
  • NOAA and the National Weather Service have begun phasing in upgraded forecasting and warning tools to integrate higher atmospheric moisture and intensifying storm patterns.