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U.S. Faces Debt Default Risk as Early as August, CBO Warns

Treasury's extraordinary measures may be exhausted by late May or June, intensifying pressure on Congress to resolve debt ceiling deadlock.

A man walks toward the Capitol on a day where a potential government shutdown looms during the holidays after a spending bill backed by Donald Trump failed in the U.S. House of Representatives, on Capitol Hill in Washington, U.S., December 20, 2024. REUTERS/Kevin Lamarque/File Photo
Scott Bessent, United States Secretary of the Treasury, speaks at an Economic Club of New York luncheon in New York, Thursday, March 6, 2025. (AP Photo/Seth Wenig)
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Overview

  • The Congressional Budget Office estimates the U.S. could default on its debt as early as August 2025 without congressional action.
  • Treasury Department's extraordinary measures to delay default may run out by late May or June if borrowing needs exceed projections.
  • The national debt currently exceeds $36 trillion, highlighting the scale of the fiscal challenge.
  • Congress remains divided, with the House proposing a $4 trillion debt ceiling increase and the Senate pursuing a budget measure without such an increase.
  • The Treasury Department is expected to release an updated 'X-date' projection in the coming weeks to clarify the timeline for potential default.