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US Export License Backlog Reaches Three-Decade High as Commerce Bureau Struggles

Rulemaking paralysis under new leadership is holding up thousands of AI chip export applications.

Overview

  • The bureau’s inventory of export license requests has swelled to its largest size in over 30 years, reflecting a severe slowdown in processing.
  • Nvidia’s H2O AI chip shipments to China remain unapproved, putting billions of dollars in orders at risk.
  • Officials blame Undersecretary Jeffrey Kessler’s tightened communication rules and stalled policy updates for delays across the licensing process.
  • Key export control roles remain unfilled and senior career staff have resigned or retired, including the acting director of export enforcement.
  • Industry groups warn that stalled approvals for semiconductor manufacturing equipment could weaken American technology firms’ global competitiveness.