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US Export License Backlog Reaches Three-Decade High as Commerce Bureau Struggles

Rulemaking paralysis under new leadership is holding up thousands of AI chip export applications.

Containers sit at the Port of Los Angeles, in San Pedro, California, U.S., July 8, 2025. REUTERS/Daniel Cole/File Photo
An American flag flutters over a ship and shipping containers at the Port of Los Angeles, in San Pedro California, U.S., May 13, 2025. REUTERS/Mike Blake/File Photo
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Overview

  • The bureau’s inventory of export license requests has swelled to its largest size in over 30 years, reflecting a severe slowdown in processing.
  • Nvidia’s H2O AI chip shipments to China remain unapproved, putting billions of dollars in orders at risk.
  • Officials blame Undersecretary Jeffrey Kessler’s tightened communication rules and stalled policy updates for delays across the licensing process.
  • Key export control roles remain unfilled and senior career staff have resigned or retired, including the acting director of export enforcement.
  • Industry groups warn that stalled approvals for semiconductor manufacturing equipment could weaken American technology firms’ global competitiveness.