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US export curbs cost Nvidia $2.5B in Q1 China chip sales and signal $8B Q2 shortfall

Nvidia is pivoting toward new AI chip designs and partnerships in Saudi Arabia and the UAE to mitigate its lost China revenue.

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Nvidia Blackwell and GTC 2024
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Overview

  • Nvidia recorded a $4.5 billion inventory write-down in Q1 due to restrictions on unsellable H20 chips.
  • China shipments fell to $5.5 billion in Q1, missing the $6.2 billion consensus and shrinking to 12.5% of overall revenue.
  • Management forecasts an additional $8 billion revenue shortfall in Q2 as the H20 export ban fully takes effect.
  • CEO Jensen Huang stated that US export controls have effectively locked Nvidia out of the $50 billion China AI market and accelerated Chinese chip development.
  • The company is shifting focus to new AI chip architectures and establishing partnerships in Saudi Arabia and the UAE to diversify its business.