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US-EU Trade Talks Enter Final Stage as Tariff Threats and Inflation Fuel Market Volatility

Persistent 2.7 percent inflation has pushed Treasury yields above five percent, testing Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s resolve ahead of an August 1 deadline to avert 30 percent EU tariffs

US-Präsident Donald Trump, hier am Weißen Haus in Washington, fordert in Verhandlungen mit der EU offenbar weiter hohe Zölle.
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Donald Trump steht auf einer Wiese und guckt gen Himmel

Overview

  • June consumer inflation rose 2.7 percent year-on-year and core measures like Trimmed Mean, Sticky Inflation and Supercore have climbed to multi-year highs.
  • Bond investors demanded higher returns as 30-year Treasury yields breached five percent over policy uncertainty and speculation about Fed leadership changes.
  • President Trump has warned of 30 percent duties on €370 billion of European goods starting August 1 if negotiators fail to reach a deal.
  • EU diplomats say trade discussions are in their closing phase and hope to finalize agreements by mid-week to head off planned tariffs.
  • Fed Chair Jerome Powell has resisted political pressure for interest rate cuts and indicated monetary policy will remain restrictive until inflation eases.