Overview

• Both Kamala Harris and Donald Trump present challenges for Europe, with Harris expected to continue Biden's policies and Trump likely to escalate trade tensions.
• Trump's potential withdrawal of support for Ukraine and NATO could force Europe to increase defense spending, impacting regional security and economic stability.
• European economies, heavily reliant on trade, face risks from potential US tariffs and pressure to align with US anti-China measures.
• Trump's stance on climate policy, including a potential withdrawal from the Paris Agreement, contrasts with Harris's silence on the issue, leaving European climate efforts uncertain.
• Regardless of the election's outcome, Europe is urged to strengthen its own defense and trade capabilities in anticipation of a shifting international order.