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US Economy Shows Remarkable Resilience in 2023, Inflation Cools Dramatically

Federal Reserve expected to deliver rate cuts in 2024 as US stocks end the year with a bang and unemployment remains low.

  • The US economy showed remarkable resilience in 2023, overcoming fears of recession, war in Ukraine, oil price shocks, and political dysfunction.
  • Inflation cooled dramatically, with consumer prices increasing by 3.1% year-over-year in November, down sharply from 9.1% in June 2022.
  • The Federal Reserve is expected to deliver rate cuts as soon as March 2024, which would lower the cost of mortgages, car loans, and credit card balances.
  • US stocks ended the year with a bang, with the S&P 500 rallying nine weeks to end the year, and the Nasdaq spiking 43%, narrowly missing its best year in two decades.
  • Despite the Fed’s rate hikes, the unemployment rate is sitting at just 3.7%, near a half-century low, and initial jobless claims remain historically low at just 218,000.
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