Overview
- The U.S. economy shrank by 0.3% in the first quarter of 2025, according to the Commerce Department's Bureau of Economic Analysis, marking the first contraction since early 2022.
- A 41% surge in imports, driven by businesses front-loading goods to avoid new tariffs, significantly subtracted from GDP calculations.
- Federal government spending dropped by 5.1%, including an 8% decline in defense expenditures, further contributing to the contraction.
- Consumer spending grew by 1.8%, while business investment surged over 20%, partially offsetting the negative impact of imports and spending cuts.
- Economists warn of potential recession risks as businesses and lawmakers call for tariff relief, while the White House defends its trade policies and highlights economic resilience.