Overview
- The U.S. GDP shrank by 0.3% in the first quarter of 2025, driven by a 41.3% surge in imports as businesses rushed to avoid tariffs imposed by President Trump in April.
- Consumer spending slowed to a 1.8% annualized growth rate, the weakest since mid-2023, while federal government spending dropped by 5.1%, further dragging on economic output.
- Inflation pressures intensified, with the core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index rising to 3.5%, complicating the Federal Reserve's policy outlook.
- Stock markets fell sharply following the GDP report, with the Dow Jones dropping 700 points, reflecting investor concerns over slowing growth and persistent inflation.
- Private hiring showed weakness, with ADP reporting a gain of only 62,000 jobs in April, missing expectations and signaling potential labor market fragility.