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U.S. Economic Indicators Outpace Forecasts as Tariff Revenues Top $100 Billion

Sustained tariffs have driven gains across retail sales, hiring, manufacturing output

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U.S. President-elect Donald Trump smiles during Turning Point USA's AmericaFest at the Phoenix Convention Center on December 22, 2024 in Phoenix, Arizona. The annual four day conference geared toward energizing and connecting conservative youth hosts some of the country's leading conservative politicians and activists. (Rebecca Noble/Getty)

Overview

  • Tariff collections have exceeded $100 billion since January with projections to reach $300 billion by December.
  • June retail sales rose 0.6% from May and 3.5% year-on-year, topping economists’ expectations.
  • Weekly jobless claims fell by 7,000 to 221,000 for the week ending July 12, marking a fifth consecutive decline.
  • The Consumer Price Index climbed 2.7% annually in June, its strongest increase since February but still below early forecasts.
  • U.S. stock indices hit record highs in mid-July, reflecting elevated investor confidence.