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US Dollar Nears Six-Week Low as Investors Bet on Fed Cuts

An ECB rate cut this week is set to magnify losses for the greenback following weak US services data.

Trader Leon Montana works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, Tuesday, June 3, 2025. (AP Photo/Richard Drew)
Traders work as U.S. House Majority Leader Steve Scalise (R-LA) observes trading on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., April 15, 2025.  REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo
A woman walks past a stock quotation board at a brokerage in Tokyo, Japan, April 7, 2025. REUTERS/Androniki Christodoulou/File Photo
U.S. Dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration picture taken June 14, 2022. REUTERS/Florence Lo/Illustration/File Photo

Overview

  • The dollar index has slid to 98.749, marking a near 9% decline this year and nearing its weakest annual performance since 2017.
  • US services sector activity contracted in May for the first time in nearly a year, stoking concerns over growth.
  • Swap traders have priced in two Federal Reserve rate cuts by year-end on sluggish economic indicators.
  • A Reuters poll shows almost 90% of FX strategists expect reduced demand for US dollar-denominated assets in the coming months.
  • Euro forecasts in the same survey anticipate gains toward $1.18 within a year as ECB rate cuts loom.