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US Dollar Hits Multi-Year Low as Fiscal Woes and Trade Policy Weigh Heavily

The dollar has fallen over 7% this year, driven by a Moody's credit downgrade, widening deficits, and investor uncertainty linked to tariff threats and policy unpredictability.

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Overview

  • The US dollar has reached its lowest value since 2023, extending a year-to-date decline of over 7%.
  • Moody's recently downgraded the US credit rating, citing growing fiscal deficits and rising government debt costs.
  • President Trump's renewed tariff threats, including potential increases on EU imports, have heightened market concerns about recession risks and economic uncertainty.
  • Jefferies and other financial analysts predict a long-term weakening of the dollar, partly due to political unpredictability and structural fiscal challenges.
  • Gold has emerged as a preferred safe-haven asset, with alternatives like the euro, yen, and cryptocurrencies seen as inadequate replacements for the dollar's reserve status.