Overview
- Earlier this month the federal debt passed $40 trillion, lifting the debt-to-GDP ratio to roughly 125 percent and marking a rapid climb over the past decade.
- Analysts say the increase stems from decades of tax cuts, large pandemic and other stimulus spending, and rising entitlement costs such as Social Security and Medicare.
- Markets have reacted with higher long-term Treasury yields, which have raised the government’s cost of borrowing and are feeding into higher mortgage and consumer rates.
- Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent expanded the Treasury’s bond buyback program to temper long-term yields, but experts say the move provided only temporary relief without a fiscal plan.
- Policymakers face hard choices — options range from raising revenue to about 20 percent of GDP, trimming spending, or reforming entitlements — yet public attention is low and major bipartisan action remains unlikely before the midterms.