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U.S. Debt Tops $40 Trillion and Equals About 125% of GDP

Rising Treasury yields have pushed annual interest costs near $1 trillion, creating market strain that pressures lawmakers to consider higher taxes or benefit cuts.

Overview

  • Earlier this month the federal debt passed $40 trillion, lifting the debt-to-GDP ratio to roughly 125 percent and marking a rapid climb over the past decade.
  • Analysts say the increase stems from decades of tax cuts, large pandemic and other stimulus spending, and rising entitlement costs such as Social Security and Medicare.
  • Markets have reacted with higher long-term Treasury yields, which have raised the government’s cost of borrowing and are feeding into higher mortgage and consumer rates.
  • Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent expanded the Treasury’s bond buyback program to temper long-term yields, but experts say the move provided only temporary relief without a fiscal plan.
  • Policymakers face hard choices — options range from raising revenue to about 20 percent of GDP, trimming spending, or reforming entitlements — yet public attention is low and major bipartisan action remains unlikely before the midterms.