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U.S. Core Capital Goods Rebound in July as Aircraft Slump Pulls Headline Orders Lower

Some of the strength likely reflects higher prices tied to tariffs rather than a broad pickup in volumes.

Overview

  • Nondefense capital goods orders excluding aircraft rose 1.1% in July after a revised 0.6% decline in June, topping a 0.2% forecast.
  • Shipments of core capital goods increased 0.7% in July, a positive signal for third‑quarter GDP.
  • Total durable‑goods orders fell 2.8% as nondefense aircraft bookings dropped 32.7%, while orders excluding transportation advanced 1.1%.
  • Boeing reported 31 aircraft orders in July versus 116 in June, highlighting the sector’s month‑to‑month volatility.
  • Unfilled orders were little changed at $1.469 trillion and inventories rose 0.3% to $590.8 billion, pointing to ongoing production support.