Overview
- Commerce Department data show non-defense capital goods excluding aircraft rose 0.9% in September after an upwardly revised 0.9% gain in August, and shipments advanced 0.9%.
- Overall durable goods orders increased 0.5% in September, while a Reuters poll had expected only a 0.2% rise for core capital goods.
- Nondefense aircraft orders fell 6.1% in September, even as Boeing reported 96 aircraft bookings versus 26 in August, underscoring volatility in the category.
- The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model points to roughly 4.0% annualized growth in the third quarter, supported by stronger equipment demand.
- Release of the durable-goods report and the third-quarter GDP estimate was delayed by a 43-day federal shutdown, and business surveys indicate tariffs have weighed on manufacturing overall even as AI-related investment lifts some segments.