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U.S. Consumer Sentiment Falls to Lowest Since 2022 as Shutdown Extends Into Second Month

The preliminary November reading undershot expectations, reflecting mounting concern over the record-long federal shutdown’s economic toll.

Overview

  • The University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 50.3 in early November from 53.6 in October, the weakest reading since June 2022.
  • Survey director Joanne Hsu said households are increasingly worried about the shutdown’s consequences, with the decline broad-based across age, income, and political affiliation.
  • The government closure has entered a second month with cuts to benefits including food stamps, widespread furloughs and unpaid work for federal employees, and flight disruptions for travelers.
  • One-year inflation expectations ticked up to 4.7% in November, while five-year expectations eased to 3.6%, indicating greater near-term price concerns alongside softer long-run views.
  • Economists polled by Reuters had expected the index to slip to 53.2, making the actual decline notably sharper than forecasts.