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U.S. Consumer Sentiment Drops to 50.8 as Inflation Expectations Hit 6.7%

The University of Michigan survey reveals a sharp decline in confidence, driven by tariff uncertainty and recession fears, with inflation expectations at their highest since 1981.

Overview

  • The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 50.8 in April, marking the fourth consecutive monthly decline and nearing record lows since 1952.
  • Year-ahead inflation expectations surged to 6.7%, the highest level in over four decades, intensifying economic concerns.
  • President Trump's fluctuating tariff policies are identified as a key driver of declining consumer confidence and rising inflation fears.
  • Survey data highlights broad-based economic anxiety, with deteriorating views on business conditions, personal finances, and labor markets across all demographics.
  • Economists warn that elevated inflation expectations could complicate Federal Reserve efforts to manage monetary policy while addressing recession risks.

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