Overview
- The University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index rose 16% in June to 60.5, marking the first gain after six months of declines and beating economist forecasts.
- One-year inflation expectations plunged from 6.6% in May to 5.1% in June while five-year projections edged down to 4.1%, signaling reduced concern over tariff-driven price pressures.
- President Trump’s administration eased some April tariffs and launched a 90-day negotiation window, with progress in talks—especially with China—helping to restore consumer optimism.
- Recent data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed the consumer price index increased just 0.1% in May, underlining mild inflation despite elevated duties on imports.
- Despite the rebound, sentiment remains about 20% below its December 2024 level and consumers continue to voice guarded views on future business conditions and personal finances.