Overview
- The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index fell 7.9 points in April to 86.0, marking the lowest level since May 2020 and the fifth consecutive monthly decline.
- The Expectations Index dropped 12.5 points to 54.4, its lowest reading since October 2011, signaling deep pessimism about future business conditions, employment, and income prospects.
- Mentions of tariffs in consumer survey responses reached an all-time high, reflecting widespread anxiety about their economic impact and potential to drive inflation higher.
- Year-ahead inflation expectations rose to 7%, the highest since November 2022, while 48.5% of consumers expect stock prices to decline in the next 12 months, the most since October 2011.
- Despite the downturn in confidence, the Present Situation Index remained relatively strong at 133.5, with indicators such as retail sales and hiring showing continued economic resilience.