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US Confirms Huawei’s 2025 AI Chip Output Capped at 200,000 Units

Commerce Department urges tougher export enforcement to prevent Beijing from acquiring advanced AI technology

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Jeffrey Kessler, the US Under Secretary of Commerce for Industry and Security. Photo: CQ-Roll Call via Getty Images
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Overview

  • Under Secretary Jeffrey Kessler testified that Huawei’s Ascend AI chip production capacity for 2025 will not exceed 200,000 units.
  • He told lawmakers that most or all of those chips will be delivered to companies inside China under current export restrictions.
  • The Commerce Department is seeking congressional funding for 200 additional enforcement officers and expanded overseas teams to crack down on smuggling and diversion networks.
  • Analysts note that China’s domestic demand for AI accelerators topped 1.5 million units in 2024, meaning Huawei’s projected output would cover less than 15 percent of the market.
  • Despite sanctions and technology gaps that leave its chips at least one generation behind US rivals, Beijing is investing heavily in semiconductor research and production to close the divide.