Overview
- Businesses are using cash reserves or taking on loans with interest rates up to 20% to bulk-buy inventory ahead of anticipated tariff hikes
- Front-loading has restrained consumer price gains but imposes heavy costs through lost interest income and escalating debt
- Walmart has signaled upcoming price increases, while some other retailers are discounting stock to free up cash and reduce liabilities
- Goldman Sachs economists project core PCE inflation could climb to about 3.6% by end-2025 due to surging pre-tariff demand
- The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge has cooled, but officials are cautious about cutting rates until tariff-related uncertainties ease