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U.S. Birth Rate Ticks Up Slightly in 2024 but Remains Far Below Replacement Level

Preliminary CDC data show a 1% increase in births last year, prompting the Trump administration to weigh pronatalist policies to address long-term demographic challenges.

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Overview

  • The U.S. recorded 3.62 million births in 2024, a 1% increase from 2023 but still below replacement-level fertility rates.
  • The total fertility rate remains at 1.6 births per woman, well below the 2.1 needed to sustain the current population size.
  • Births among older mothers rose significantly, with a 4% increase for women aged 40-44 and a 3% increase for those aged 35-39.
  • President Trump has called for a 'baby boom' to mitigate potential economic strains from a shrinking workforce and aging population.
  • Proposed pronatalist measures include a $5,000 'baby bonus' and expanded public health education to support family planning and conception.