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U.S. Beef Prices Hit Record Highs as Trade Curbs Tighten Supply

Retailers are investing in domestic processing to lock in margins, shielding supply chains from rising import barriers.

Beef sold at a store in Annapolis, Maryland, on April 4, 2025.
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Overview

  • The average price of uncooked beef steak rose 8% over the past year to $11.49 per pound, while ground beef climbed nearly 12% to a record $6.12, according to USDA figures.
  • U.S. cattle inventories stood at 86.7 million head on January 1, the smallest herd size since 1951, as prolonged drought and elevated feed costs prompted ranchers to shrink their stocks.
  • In May, the USDA halted cattle imports from Mexico over a screwworm outbreak, and President Trump’s 50% tariff on Brazilian beef, effective August 1, threatens to curb roughly 23% of U.S. beef imports.
  • Walmart opened its first fully company-owned beef processing facility in Olathe, Kansas, enabling it to work directly with suppliers and mitigate rising procurement expenses.
  • Despite soaring prices, consumer demand for beef remains robust, though industry leaders predict price volatility will persist for the next two to four years.