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U.S. and Mexico Set for Gold Cup Final in Houston With Mexico Slight Favorite

Co-hosts of the 2026 World Cup see Sunday’s final as a critical tune-up before next summer’s tournament.

U.S. goalkeeper Matthew Freese (25) celebrats with defender Walker Zimmerman (5) during a semifinal match of the 2025 Gold Cup at Energizer Park.

Overview

  • The Gold Cup final is scheduled for Sunday, July 6 at Houston’s NRG Stadium with live English coverage on FOX and Spanish broadcasts on Univision and TUDN.
  • Mexico holds a slight edge in three-way betting at +145, against +190 for an American win and +210 for a draw.
  • The U.S. squad is without Christian Pulisic, Weston McKennie, Tim Weah and Gio Reyna and relies on 21-year-old Diego Luna after his two-goal semifinal brace.
  • Mexico chases a record tenth Gold Cup title under coach Javier Aguirre and has won five of the seven previous finals against the United States.
  • A predominantly pro-Mexico crowd, often outnumbering U.S. fans by roughly four-to-one, is expected to create a hostile atmosphere for the USMNT.