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U.S. and Israel Struggle to Replenish Air-Defense Missiles After Iran’s Massed Barrage

Production bottlenecks plus allied refusal to share interceptors threaten to leave defenses vulnerable for years.

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Overview

  • Iran launched 574 medium-range ballistic missiles at Israel and Al Udeid Air Base over 12 days, in an unprecedented campaign.
  • U.S. THAAD interceptors accounted for nearly half of the interceptions but consumed an estimated 14% of the global stockpile, which will take three to eight years to rebuild at current rates.
  • Defending Al Udeid cost roughly 30 Patriot interceptors to shoot down 13 missiles at about $3.7 million per round.
  • The United States asked Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates to share interceptors for Israel’s defense, but Saudi Arabia declined to transfer its newly deployed THAAD battery.
  • With limited factory capacity and slow output, analysts warn that defenses could remain dangerously thin and vulnerable to future saturation attacks.