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U.S. and Israel Have Plans for Post‑Midterm Strikes on Iran

Planners say a short, intense campaign could widen the war, disrupting global oil and shipping flows.

Overview

  • Multiple outlets report that U.S. and Israeli militaries have drawn up detailed plans to carry out strikes on Iran after the U.S. midterm elections, with a window expected once U.S. forces are fully in place in early November.
  • The planning identifies likely targets such as Iran’s nuclear sites, missile and drone arsenals, and select energy infrastructure while some officials say strikes may avoid refineries to limit fuel‑price shocks.
  • The Pentagon is moving significant forces to the region, including a third aircraft carrier, thousands of Marines, fighter jets and special operations units that U.S. officials say should be positioned by early November.
  • Iran’s Revolutionary Guard has claimed it struck or damaged multiple commercial tankers in the Strait of Hormuz and said other vessels struck mines, but those claims have not been independently verified and the UK maritime monitor did not corroborate them.
  • Officials warn that renewed attacks risk sharp rises in energy prices, wider targeting of civilian infrastructure such as refineries and undersea cables, and political uncertainty given President Trump’s history of blocking strikes and Israel’s Oct. 27 election; mediators continue quiet talks.