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US and EU Near Deal on Non-Tariff Barriers as Tariff Clash Looms

Regulatory frictions on climate, digital markets and supply chains will be eased under the draft pact.

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Overview

  • The latest USTR draft would pause enforcement of the EU’s Digital Markets Act and delay the bloc’s new deforestation rule for 12 months
  • US exports would receive a one-year exemption from the EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism and waivers on upcoming methane regulations for energy shipments
  • Negotiators have outlined cooperation on shipbuilding standards, maritime shipping and joint measures targeting non-market economies such as China
  • The draft focuses solely on regulatory frictions and omits Trump-era tariffs on EU steel, aluminum and automobiles
  • Tariff tensions could flare after July 14 when the EU’s retaliatory duties take effect and on July 17 when President Trump threatens to impose a 20% levy on EU goods if no separate agreement is reached