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US and EU Close to 15% Reciprocal Tariff Deal Ahead of August Deadline

Brussels has approved €93 billion in counter-tariffs set to start August 7 if negotiations fail.

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A worker harvests oranges on a farm in Formoso, state of Minas Gerais, Brazil July 16, 2025. REUTERS/Adriano Machado
President Donald Trump speaks with reporters before departing on Marine One from the South Lawn of the White House, Friday, July 25, 2025, in Washington. The president is travelling to Scotland.
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Overview

  • Washington and Tokyo have agreed to a framework replacing Japan’s threatened 25% levy with a 15% tariff in exchange for a $550 billion Japanese investment pledge in US projects.
  • EU diplomats say a mirror 15% baseline tariff on EU goods is within reach pending President Trump’s final approval and his estimation of 50-50 odds on a deal.
  • The European Commission secured member-state backing for €93 billion of contingency duties on American exports that would take effect August 7 if no agreement materializes.
  • South Korea’s trade and industry ministers met US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick to explore expanded market access, investment pledges and sectoral cooperation to avert proposed 25% US tariffs.
  • President Trump reiterated that letters sent to nearly 200 countries by August 1 will lock in negotiated tariff rates as binding contracts once dispatched.