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U.S. Airlines Pull 2025 Guidance as Travel Demand Weakens

Major carriers cite economic uncertainty and trade tensions for reduced forecasts, with domestic leisure travel seeing a sharp decline since February.

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FILE - American Airlines passenger jets prepare for departure, Wednesday, July 21, 2021, near a terminal at Boston Logan International Airport, in Boston. (AP Photo/Steven Senne, File)
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Overview

  • American, Southwest, Delta, and Alaska Airlines have withdrawn their full-year 2025 financial guidance, citing an unpredictable economic environment.
  • Domestic leisure travel demand has dropped significantly since February, with price-sensitive travelers cutting back on bookings.
  • President Trump’s tariffs and trade tensions have created unprecedented uncertainty, impacting consumer confidence and travel spending.
  • Carriers have revised second-quarter forecasts, projecting flat to declining revenue and earnings below Wall Street estimates.
  • Airlines are implementing capacity reductions and cost-control measures, with United issuing dual profit scenarios to navigate potential recession risks.