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Upsets Jolt College Rankings as NFL Week 6 Models Push Conflicting Picks

Diverging computer projections plus expert picks set conflicting signals for bettors ahead of NFL Week 6.

Overview

  • Two former top-10 college teams, Penn State and Texas, fell to unranked opponents and dropped out of the rankings, underscoring a volatile Week 7 landscape.
  • Chris ‘The Bear’ Fallica’s new top 10 places Ohio State at No. 1, citing a defense that has allowed just two touchdowns this season.
  • ESPN’s Matchup Predictor assigns notable Week 6 NFL odds including Eagles 74.8% over the Giants, Broncos 71% over the Jets, Chiefs 53.4% over the Lions, and Buccaneers 51.1% over the 49ers.
  • SportsLine’s 10,000-simulation model backs Dallas to cover at Carolina and Tampa Bay to cover against San Francisco, and it favors Buffalo to cover at Atlanta as part of a roughly 25-1 five-leg parlay.
  • Analysts highlight upset risks such as Detroit at Kansas City, with multiple outlets questioning the Chiefs’ form and pointing to the Lions’ balanced offense as a live threat.