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UPS Shares Tumble as Q2 Profit Falls Short of Forecast Despite Revenue Beat

Soft US manufacturing activity compounded by new trade tariffs weighed on shipment volumes, leading UPS to withhold full-year guidance.

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A United Parcel Service truck makes deliveries in Pittsburgh on Wednesday, June 25, 2025. (AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)
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Overview

  • UPS posted Q2 revenue of $21.2 billion, down 3% year-over-year; this performance topped analyst estimates of $20.87 billion.
  • Adjusted EPS of $1.55 missed forecasts of $1.57, contributing to a nearly 9% drop in share price.
  • Average daily US volumes fell 7.3%; China-US trade lane shipments plunged 34.8% following new tariff policies.
  • The company reaffirmed its plan to cut $3.5 billion in base expenses by closing facilities and downsizing staff.
  • UPS confirmed approximately $3.5 billion in capital expenditures, $5.5 billion in dividend payouts and $1 billion in completed share buybacks; it also declined to issue full-year guidance.