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Upcoming Jobs Report Faces Distortion from Strikes and Hurricanes

The final employment snapshot before the U.S. election is skewed by temporary disruptions, complicating economic assessments.

  • The October jobs report is expected to show reduced job growth due to the impact of hurricanes and ongoing strikes, with economists estimating around 120,000 new jobs.
  • Despite these disruptions, the unemployment rate is projected to remain steady at 4.1%, indicating underlying economic resilience.
  • Consumer confidence has reached a nine-month high, reflecting improved perceptions of the job market despite a drop in job openings to a 3.5-year low.
  • Political figures, particularly Republicans, continue to question the credibility of employment data, citing revisions and external factors affecting job numbers.
  • The Federal Reserve is anticipated to cut interest rates again in November, following a half-point reduction in September, as part of ongoing efforts to manage economic conditions.
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