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Unseasonable U.S. Warmth Holds Through Weekend as Early-Week Front Looms

A stubborn high-pressure ridge keeps conditions dry with record-challenging heat in parts of the Midwest before a cooler, wetter turn next week.

Overview

  • A broad ridge continues to drive warm, mostly dry weather, with highs widely in the 70s to near 90 and some markets running more than 10 degrees above normal.
  • Chicago may flirt with daily records near 90 degrees through Sunday as southeast Wisconsin also targets near-record upper 80s to around 90.
  • Expect pronounced day-night swings with cool mornings and warm afternoons, alongside persistent northeasterly to easterly breezes that can gust 20–25 mph in spots.
  • Gulf and Southeast coasts see increasing shower chances into the weekend, small craft advisories, and the risk of minor coastal flooding on east-facing shores.
  • Forecasters target Monday–Wednesday for a pattern shift as a front brings scattered rain and a cooldown toward seasonal levels, though rainfall may be uneven and drought stress could linger.