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UnitedHealth Maps Transition in 2026, Signals Confidence With Dividend Hike

Guidance sets up double-digit growth from 2027 following a reset from recent disruptions.

Overview

  • UnitedHealth raised its Q4 2025 dividend by 5.2% year over year, signaling renewed confidence.
  • Management characterizes 2026 as a transition year to reset operations and position for a rebound beginning in 2027.
  • Analyst consensus projects about a 41% EPS decline for 2025 followed by roughly 14.1% annual EPS growth over the next five years.
  • Coverage notes recovering profits and improving stability after two difficult years that included a major cyberattack and leadership turnover.
  • Analysts cite the company’s scale and diversification as recovery drivers but warn of regulatory and execution risks, with one author outlining $400, $450, and $500 share-price targets over one to three years.