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13h ago

Union Support Falls to Record Low as AfD Leads Polls

The slump has raised doubts about Chancellor Friedrich Merz's hold on the CDU, signaling a possible shift in coalition norms if voters keep backing the AfD.

Die Union ist im neuen "Trendbarometer" auf den niedrigsten Wert seit Oktober 2021 gerutscht. In der Forsa-Umfrage für RTL und ntv erreichten CDU und CSU 20 Prozent - einen Punkt weniger als in der Vorwoche.
Die AfD bleibt stärkste Kraft in der Umfrage: CDU-Chef Merz und AfD-Chefin Weidel im Bundestag
Friedrich Merz guckt verkniffen
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Overview

  • Polls published Tuesday show the CDU/CSU at historic lows with YouGov at 18 percent and Forsa at 20 percent while the AfD tops surveys at about 27 to 29 percent.
  • Public satisfaction with Chancellor Friedrich Merz has dropped to an all time low of around 10 percent in the Forsa survey, intensifying calls inside the party for urgent fixes to strategy and leadership.
  • Merz has convened the CDU presidium for a formal meeting on election night, and party circles report speculation that state CDU leaders could move to replace him depending on regional results.
  • YouGov finds growing public openness to breaking the traditional firewall against working with the AfD, rising to 51 percent, and Forsa reports a high share of undecided or nonvoters at 26 percent, making outcomes volatile.
  • Two state votes this weekend in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and Berlin are being treated as decisive tests for the federal CDU; a poor showing could prompt leadership change and force mainstream parties to rethink coalition rules.