Overview
- CDU/CSU and AfD each register 25.5% in INSA’s Oct 30–Nov 3 survey, with the AfD down 0.5 points and the Union up 1 point based on an online panel of 2,002 respondents.
 - The AfD records its lowest level since mid-September after weeks of stronger showings.
 - Union and SPD together reach 40.5%, the first time their combined share tops 40% since late September.
 - BSW polls 4% and the FDP 3%, both below the 5% Bundestag threshold, while the SPD holds at 15% and the Greens and the Left each stand at 11%.
 - Public mood remains negative, with 58% dissatisfied with the federal government and only 11% saying it performs better than expected, as 51% now categorically exclude voting for the AfD, two points fewer than a week earlier.