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Union Edges Ahead of AfD in ZDF Poll as CDU’s Firewall Faces New Strains

Fresh surveys show persistent eastern strength for the AfD alongside weakening faith in Berlin’s economic management.

Overview

  • The latest ZDF Politbarometer puts CDU/CSU at 27% and the AfD at 25%, based on 1,300 interviews conducted September 29 to October 1 by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen.
  • A separate ARD-DeutschlandTrend released later shows the AfD and Union tied at 26% each, underscoring institute-to-institute variation within typical margins of error.
  • Report Mainz documented CDUAfD cooperation in several eastern municipalities, including joint votes in Wurzen and motions in Cottbus and Dresden, despite the CDU’s formal non-cooperation rule.
  • CDU leadership continues to uphold the 2018 non-cooperation decision, even as local figures like Vorpommern-Rügen district chief Stefan Kerth publicly urge setting conditions to work with the AfD.
  • Saxony-Anhalt premier Reiner Haseloff warned against the AfD becoming the strongest force nationwide, as only 46% in the Politbarometer believe the government can boost the economy.