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Union Edges AfD in New ZDF Poll as Germany Enters High‑Stakes Election Year

Fresh ZDF polling shows a one-point Union lead, with most voters rejecting AfD-led state governments.

Overview

  • The latest ZDF/Politbarometer places CDU/CSU at 26% and the AfD at 25%, with the SPD up to 15%, the Greens at 12% and The Left at 10%.
  • A combined 12% back other parties, a category that includes the FDP and the Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht, which were not listed separately in the survey.
  • Sixty-nine percent say it would be bad if the AfD led state governments in Sachsen-Anhalt or Mecklenburg-Vorpommern.
  • Regional polling shows the AfD near 40% in parts of eastern Germany, creating scenarios in which an AfD minister-president could be arithmetically possible if rivals fall below 5%.
  • In Brandenburg after the SPD–BSW coalition collapse, an INSA poll finds AfD at 34%, SPD at 25% and CDU at 13%, with 68% favoring new elections and a majority opposing an SPD–CDU tie-up.